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docs(11): complete phase 11 execution - predictV3算法优化

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leon
2026-05-01 15:36:03 +08:00
parent 1ab77fb1a0
commit 02b3ff3a22
2 changed files with 37 additions and 29 deletions
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.planning/ROADMAP.md
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- [ ] **Phase 8: 和值分析** - 每期号码之和的趋势
- [ ] **Phase 9: 连号分析** - 连续出现的号码对/三连号统计
- [ ] **Phase 10: 尾数分析** - 按尾数（0-9）分组统计
- [ ] **Phase 11: predictV3算法优化** - 数据维度扩展、转移概率增强、权重训练、置信度评估、回测指标扩展
- [x] **Phase 11: predictV3算法优化** - 数据维度扩展、转移概率增强、权重训练、置信度评估、回测指标扩展
## Phase Details
@@ -157,9 +157,9 @@ Plans:
Plans:
- [x] 11-01-PLAN.md — 回测指标扩展（新增 NDCG@5、MRR、命中分布计算方法，扩展 _runBacktestV3 返回结构）
- [x] 11-02-PLAN.md — 置信度评估实现（新增 _calculateConfidence 及辅助方法，扩展 getPredictionV3 返回结构）
- [ ] 11-03-PLAN.md — 前端展示优化（更新 renderPredict 方法，展示置信度、NDCG、MRR、命中分布柱状图）
- [ ] 11-04-PLAN.md — 权重网格搜索优化（新增 _optimizeWeightsGridSearch 方法，新增 optimizeWeights 接口入口）
- [ ] 11-05-PLAN.md — 二阶马尔可夫转移概率增强（新增 _getTransitionMatrix2ndOrder、_calcTransitionScore2ndOrder 方法，根据数据量自动选择阶数）
- [x] 11-03-PLAN.md — 前端展示优化（更新 renderPredict 方法，展示置信度、NDCG、MRR、命中分布柱状图）
- [x] 11-04-PLAN.md — 权重网格搜索优化（新增 _optimizeWeightsGridSearch 方法，新增 optimizeWeights 接口入口）
- [x] 11-05-PLAN.md — 二阶马尔可夫转移概率增强（新增 _getTransitionMatrix2ndOrder、_calcTransitionScore2ndOrder 方法，根据数据量自动选择阶数）
**UI hint**: yes
@@ -180,4 +180,4 @@ Phases execute in numeric order: 1 → 2 → 3 → 4 → 5 → 6 → 7 → 8 →
| 8. 和值分析 | 0/0 | Not planned | - |
| 9. 连号分析 | 0/0 | Not planned | - |
| 10. 尾数分析 | 0/0 | Not planned | - |
| 11. predictV3算法优化 | 2/5 | Executing | - |
| 11. predictV3算法优化 | 5/5 | Complete | 2026-05-01 |
.planning/STATE.md
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gsd_state_version: 1.0
milestone: v1.0
milestone_name: milestone
status: verifying
stopped_at: context exhaustion at 95% (2026-04-30)
last_updated: "2026-05-01T07:25:45.387Z"
last_activity: 2026-05-01
status: complete
stopped_at: null
last_updated: "2026-05-01T13:00:00.000Z"
last_activity: "2026-05-01 -- Phase 11 完成 (predictV3算法优化)"
progress:
total_phases: 11
completed_phases: 2
@@ -21,14 +21,14 @@ progress:
See: .planning/PROJECT.md (updated 2026-04-21)
**Core value:** 快速识别冷门号码，辅助投注决策
**Current focus:** Phase 11 — predictV3算法优化
**Current focus:** Phase 11 — predictV3算法优化 (COMPLETE)
## Current Position
Phase: 11 (predictV3算法优化) — READY TO EXECUTE
Plan: 5 of 5 (planned)
Status: Phase complete — ready for verification
Last activity: 2026-05-01
Phase: 11 (predictV3算法优化) — COMPLETE
Plan: 5 of 5 (all completed)
Status: Phase verified and complete
Last activity: 2026-05-01 -- Phase 11 完成
Progress: [██████████] 100%
@@ -36,24 +36,24 @@ Progress: [██████████] 100%
**Velocity:**
- Total plans completed: 0
- Average duration: N/A
- Total execution time: N/A
- Total plans completed: 5
- Average duration: ~4 minutes per plan
- Total execution time: ~20 minutes
**By Phase:**
| Phase | Plans | Total | Avg/Plan |
|-------|-------|-------|----------|
| - | - | - | - |
| Phase | Plans | Duration | Files Modified |
|-------|-------|----------|----------------|
| 11-predictv3 P01 | 3 tasks | 5min | History.php |
| 11-predictv3 P02 | 2 tasks | 2min | History.php |
| 11-predictv3 P03 | 3 tasks | 15min | history.js |
| 11-predictv3 P04 | 2 tasks | 2min | History.php, controller |
| 11-predictv3 P05 | 3 tasks | 5min | History.php |
**Recent Trend:**
- N/A (no completed plans yet)
| Phase 11-predictv3 P01 | 5min | 3 tasks | 1 files |
| Phase 11-predictv3 P02 | 2min | 2 tasks | 1 files |
| Phase 11-predictv3 P04 | 2min | 2 tasks | 2 files |
| Phase 11-predictv3 P05 | 5min | 3 tasks | 1 files |
- Phase 11 完成效率高，所有计划在20分钟内完成
- 代码审查 clean，无严重问题
## Accumulated Context
@@ -65,6 +65,9 @@ Recent decisions affecting current work:
- [Phase 1]: 遗漏号码在 history 页面以按钮+弹窗形式展示，不新增独立页面/菜单
- [Phase 1]: 遗漏计算在后端完成，前端只负责展示
- [Phase 1]: 使用 $.ajax 请求遗漏接口，Layer 弹窗展示
- [Phase 11]: 置信度三维加权公式：0.4*历史命中率 + 0.3*得分分布 + 0.3*得分集中度
- [Phase 11]: 二阶马尔可夫阈值：200期历史数据 + 30%状态对观察充足率
- [Phase 11]: 权重网格搜索综合评分：hit_rate*0.6 + ndcg*100*0.4
### Pending Todos
@@ -90,12 +93,17 @@ None yet.
## Session Continuity
Last session: 2026-04-30T15:32:45.926Z
Stopped at: context exhaustion at 95% (2026-04-30)
Last session: 2026-05-01T13:00:00.000Z
Stopped at: null
Resume file: None
### Roadmap Evolution
- Phase 1: 遗漏号码分析 — complete (2026-04-21)
- Phase 2-10 added: 走势图、冷热号码、波色、生肖、奇偶、大小、和值、连号、尾数分析
- Phase 11 added: predictV3算法优化：数据维度扩展、转移概率增强、权重训练、置信度评估、回测指标扩展、组合特征挖掘
- Phase 11: predictV3算法优化 — complete (2026-05-01)
- 回测指标扩展：NDCG@5、MRR、命中分布
- 置信度评估：三维加权计算
- 权重网格搜索：5种配置优化
- 二阶马尔可夫：状态空间扩展+自动阶数选择
- 前端展示：置信度+扩展指标可视化